GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colon Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Colon Santa Fe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Racing Cordoba are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Colon Santa Fe hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Primera Nacional, while Colon Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colon Santa Fe

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

48.5%

Colon Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colon Santa FeWWLWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Racing CordobaLDWWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Colon Santa FeRacing Cordoba
42.7Attack31.9
74.7Defence61.1
56.0Form41.7
58.6Power47.1
1.12xG0.43
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