GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 9/20/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Colon Santa Fe 0-0 Los Andes, with an exact score probability of 38%.

Prediction record

Final result

Colon Santa Fe 3-0 Los Andes

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6754.7%41.2%-13.5 pts
Draw3.1928.6%37.9%9.2 pts
Away5.4916.6%20.9%4.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.2 pts

Projected Score

Colon Santa Fe 0–0 Los Andes

Exact score probability: 38%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

41.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colon Santa FeLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Los AndesDDDDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Colon Santa FeLos Andes
40.2Attack25.3
71.3Defence80.5
51.7Form42.5
55.4Power50.9
0.58xG0.40
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