Colon Santa Fevs
Deportivo Moron
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colon Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Colon Santa Fe 0-0 Deportivo Moron, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Colon Santa Fe 1-2 Deportivo Moron
Original prediction
Colon Santa Fe
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 49.1% | 39.1% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.7% | 31.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.53 | 20.2% | 29.0% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Projected Score
Colon Santa Fe 0–0 Deportivo Moron
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Colon Santa Fe
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Colon Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80