GGOALVIO

Argentina · Copa Argentina · 4/27/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colon Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Colon Santa Fe are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Colegiales are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Colon Santa Fe hold a 60.0-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Copa Argentina, while Colon Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colon Santa Fe

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Colon Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colon Santa FeWDDWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ColegialesDDLDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Colon Santa FeColegiales
66.7Attack0.0
77.8Defence33.3
77.8Form0.0
75.3Power15.3
1.80xG0.79
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