GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 6/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Colon Santa Fe are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ciudad de Bolívar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Colon Santa Fe hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 31.1% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

31.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colon Santa FeDDDWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 1/5
Ciudad de BolívarDWWWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Colon Santa FeCiudad de Bolívar
40.3Attack29.2
73.6Defence70.8
54.2Form47.2
57.1Power51.6
0.78xG0.42
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