Colon Santa Fevs
CA Estudiantes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colon Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Colon Santa Fe 0-0 CA Estudiantes, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Colon Santa Fe 1-0 CA Estudiantes
Original prediction
Colon Santa Fe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 47.0% | 43.1% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 31.2% | 35.4% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 4.22 | 21.8% | 21.5% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Projected Score
Colon Santa Fe 0–0 CA Estudiantes
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Colon Santa Fe
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Colon Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80