Colon Santa Fevs
Almirante Brown
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Colon Santa Fe 0-0 Almirante Brown, with an exact score probability of 40%.
Prediction record
Final result
Colon Santa Fe 2-2 Almirante Brown
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 54.2% | 41.8% | -12.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.8% | 38.4% | 9.6 pts |
| Away | 5.38 | 17.0% | 19.8% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.18 · Draw 2.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Projected Score
Colon Santa Fe 0–0 Almirante Brown
Exact score probability: 40%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
41.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Colon Santa FeDWDWL
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Almirante BrownDLLLD
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Colon Santa FeAlmirante Brown
39.4Attack26.3
74.7Defence77.8
53.5Form47.5
56.9Power52.8
0.58xG0.36