GGOALVIO

World · Central American and Caribbean Games · 8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Colombia W are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWLW), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Mexico W are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mexico W hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (68.1 v 85.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Central American and Caribbean Games, favouring a draw with 13.5% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

28.2%

Model confidence

13.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colombia WDWLW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/0.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 3/4
Mexico WWWWD

GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Colombia WMexico W
83.3Attack100.0
75.0Defence91.7
58.3Form83.3
68.1Power85.9
1.40xG1.33
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