Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colombe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Colombe 0-0 Teungueth, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Colombe 1-0 Teungueth
Original prediction
Colombe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 56.5% | 41.1% | -15.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.8% | 31.3% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 5.49 | 16.8% | 27.6% | 10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.3 pts
Projected Score
Colombe 0–0 Teungueth
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Colombe
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Colombe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ColombeWDDDD
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
TeunguethLWWWD
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
ColombeTeungueth
22.2Attack22.2
100.0Defence77.8
55.6Form66.7
60.9Power58.8
0.83xG0.71