GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores Femenina · 10/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Fe W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Colo-Colo W 1-2 Santa Fe W

Original prediction

Santa Fe W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9146.7%35.5%-11.2 pts
Draw3.2227.7%27.3%-0.3 pts
Away3.4825.6%37.2%11.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 2.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

11.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.0–17%

Predicted outcome

Santa Fe W

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Santa Fe W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colo-Colo WLLDWW

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Santa Fe WWLLWD

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Colo-Colo WSanta Fe W
0.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form100.0
15.3Power80.3
1.31xG1.68
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