Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colo Colo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Colo Colo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Nublense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Colo Colo hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Primera División, while Colo Colo holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Colo Colo
Probability
66.6%
Model confidence
13.7%
Colo Colo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00