Colo Colovs
Concepción
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 9/13/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colo Colo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Colo Colo 1-0 Concepción, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Colo Colo 1-1 Concepción
Original prediction
Colo Colo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 65.6% | 63.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.46 | 20.7% | 21.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 6.76 | 13.7% | 14.7% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Projected Score
Colo Colo 1–0 Concepción
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Colo Colo
Probability
63.4%
Model confidence
63.4%
Colo Colo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Colo ColoDWWWD
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ConcepciónLWDWW
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Colo ColoConcepción
71.2Attack36.4
68.2Defence62.1
80.3Form45.5
74.1Power49.7
1.87xG0.59