GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/11/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

America Mineiro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Colo Colo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while America Mineiro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and America Mineiro hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (37.5 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while America Mineiro holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

America Mineiro

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

America Mineiro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colo ColoWDWLD

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
America MineiroLWDWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Colo ColoAmerica Mineiro
50.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence44.4
50.0Form41.7
37.5Power50.9
1.59xG1.87
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