Colo Colovs
A. Italiano
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 8/30/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colo Colo · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colo Colo 5-1 A. Italiano
Original prediction
Colo Colo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 64.9% | 71.3% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.39 | 21.0% | 18.1% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 6.56 | 14.1% | 10.6% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Colo Colo
Probability
71.3%
Model confidence
71.3%
Colo Colo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00