Colónvs
Tacuarembo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colón · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Colón 0-0 Tacuarembo, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Colón 1-0 Tacuarembo
Original prediction
Colón
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.6% | 48.2% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.4% | 31.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.37 | 27.1% | 20.6% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Projected Score
Colón 0–0 Tacuarembo
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Colón
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Colón has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ColónDWWLL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TacuaremboLWDWL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
ColónTacuarembo
39.7Attack25.4
63.5Defence61.9
49.2Form38.1
52.7Power44.6
1.00xG0.49