Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Colón 0-0 Rentistas, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Colón 0-1 Rentistas
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 32.0% | 35.1% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.5% | 32.5% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.5% | 32.4% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Projected Score
Colón 0–0 Rentistas
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.5%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ColónLWDWD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
RentistasWDDDL
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ColónRentistas
39.1Attack37.7
66.7Defence65.2
53.6Form47.8
55.2Power52.4
0.88xG0.68