Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Colón are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Rentistas are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.5 against 52.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00