GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 5/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Colón are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Plaza Colonia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Plaza Colonia hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.5% in the Segunda División, while Plaza Colonia holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plaza Colonia

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

23.5%

Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ColónDDWDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Plaza ColoniaLWDDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ColónPlaza Colonia
38.6Attack43.9
63.2Defence75.4
47.4Form56.1
51.5Power59.4
0.59xG0.91
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