Segunda DivisiónSegunda División
Sunday, 19 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Colón

Colón

Home
D
23
Full time
Paysandu

Paysandu

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
Colón(42%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Colón
42%
Draw
27%
Paysandu
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Colón
34
Paysandu
34
Defence
Colón
66
Paysandu
91
Momentum
Colón
33
Paysandu
100
Danger (xG)
Colón
0.90
Paysandu
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Colón)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Paysandu)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Colón)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Paysandu)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ColónColón
DL
PaysanduPaysandu
WL

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Colón42%
Draw27%
Paysandu30%

Colón leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Colón head into this in Segunda División fixture in mixed form (D), while Paysandu arrive in mixed form (W). Colón have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Paysandu over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Colón (66/100) and Paysandu (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Colón have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Paysandu have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Colón and Paysandu in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Colón to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Colón 4245%, Draw 2738%, Paysandu 3018%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Colón

Colón

D
@ Oriental
28 Jun 2026
11
L
vs Plaza Colonia
16 May 2026
01
Paysandu

Paysandu

W
vs Fenix
13 Jul 2026
10
L
@ CA River Plate
16 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Colón vs Paysandu?

GoalVio's model predicts Colón to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Colón vs Paysandu?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Colón vs Paysandu?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Colón vs Paysandu?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more