Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Colón 0-0 Oriental, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Colón 0-0 Oriental
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 33.4% | 32.3% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 31.5% | 32.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 35.1% | 35.6% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.90 · Draw 1.90 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Projected Score
Colón 0–0 Oriental
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ColónLLDLL
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
OrientalWWDLW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ColónOriental
35.9Attack45.7
64.1Defence65.4
48.7Form54.3
51.7Power56.8
0.79xG0.91