Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Colón are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while La Luz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Colón hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.9% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
25.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20