Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Colón are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fenix are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenix hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00