GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Colón Res. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Independiente Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Res. hold a 29.1-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Res.

Probability

54.5%

Model confidence

54.5%

Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colón Res.LWLWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente Res.WDDLW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Colón Res.Independiente Res.
27.3Attack76.8
56.1Defence69.6
30.3Form69.6
40.3Power69.4
0.49xG1.93
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