GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 5/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Colón Res. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ferro 2 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro 2 hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.6% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

20.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colón Res.WLDLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ferro 2DLWLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Colón Res.Ferro 2
27.3Attack36.4
56.1Defence56.1
30.3Form39.4
40.3Power45.5
0.76xG0.89
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