Colinavs
Santiago Morning
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 10/24/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colina · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Colina 0-0 Santiago Morning, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Colina 1-1 Santiago Morning
Original prediction
Colina
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 03:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.2% | 39.5% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.6% | 31.8% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.2% | 28.7% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Projected Score
Colina 0–0 Santiago Morning
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Colina
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Colina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ColinaLWWLD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Santiago MorningLDDDD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ColinaSantiago Morning
36.8Attack29.8
61.4Defence61.4
33.3Form31.6
45.3Power43.5
0.92xG0.63