GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 4/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Colina are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Santiago City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Santiago City hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 55.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ColinaLLWDW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Santiago CityDWLDL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ColinaSantiago City
38.5Attack48.7
61.5Defence51.3
30.8Form59.0
44.4Power55.8
1.15xG1.07
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