Colinavs
Real San Joaquín
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 9/27/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colina · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colina 1-0 Real San Joaquín
Original prediction
Colina
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.8% | 42.0% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.6% | 28.6% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 22.6% | 29.4% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Colina
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Colina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ColinaLDLLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real San JoaquínDLDDL
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
ColinaReal San Joaquín
33.3Attack45.8
62.5Defence45.8
27.1Form33.3
42.1Power42.5
1.15xG0.94