GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 4/26/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Colina are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Concón National are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Concón National hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.1% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

22.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ColinaDDLLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Concón NationalLWDWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ColinaConcón National
38.5Attack41.0
61.5Defence71.8
30.8Form53.8
44.4Power57.3
0.67xG0.90
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