Coleraine FCvs
Linfield
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 9/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coleraine FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Coleraine FC 1-0 Linfield, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Coleraine FC 1-3 Linfield
Original prediction
Coleraine FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.1% | 50.2% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.3% | 26.8% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 27.6% | 23.1% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Projected Score
Coleraine FC 1–0 Linfield
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Coleraine FC
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Coleraine FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20