Coleraine FCvs
Limavady United
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coleraine FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Coleraine FC 1-0 Limavady United
Original prediction
Coleraine FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 78.0% | 73.5% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 6.48 | 14.0% | 15.8% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 11.29 | 8.0% | 10.7% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Coleraine FC
Probability
73.5%
Model confidence
73.5%
Coleraine FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60