Coleraine FCvs
Crusaders FC
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 9/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coleraine FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Coleraine FC 4-1 Crusaders FC
Original prediction
Coleraine FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 78.2% | 55.1% | -23.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.75 | 13.5% | 22.3% | 8.8 pts |
| Away | 10.91 | 8.3% | 22.6% | 14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Coleraine FC
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Coleraine FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20