Coleraine FCvs
Cliftonville FC
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coleraine FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Coleraine FC 1-0 Cliftonville FC
Original prediction
Coleraine FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.3% | 57.5% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.69 | 19.4% | 23.6% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 6.78 | 13.4% | 18.9% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Coleraine FC
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Coleraine FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40