Coleraine FCvs
Ballymena United
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 9/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coleraine FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Coleraine FC 3-2 Ballymena United
Original prediction
Coleraine FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.9% | 60.2% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.46 | 20.3% | 21.6% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 6.13 | 14.8% | 18.2% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Coleraine FC
Probability
60.2%
Model confidence
60.2%
Coleraine FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40