GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 10/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Colegiales 0-0 Tristan Suarez, with an exact score probability of 35%.

Prediction record

Final result

Colegiales 0-0 Tristan Suarez

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5536.0%27.3%-8.6 pts
Draw2.6235.0%38.6%3.6 pts
Away3.1529.0%34.1%5.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.62 · Draw 1.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.6 pts

Projected Score

Colegiales 0–0 Tristan Suarez

Exact score probability: 35%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ColegialesWWLWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tristan SuarezDWDDD

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 0.20/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
ColegialesTristan Suarez
33.3Attack33.3
67.7Defence84.4
47.9Form60.4
51.4Power61.3
0.46xG0.61
View match centre →