GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Colegiales are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Temperley are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Temperley hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

48.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ColegialesLWDLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TemperleyDDWWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ColegialesTemperley
31.9Attack33.3
65.3Defence70.8
41.7Form51.4
48.1Power53.8
0.60xG0.66
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