Colegialesvs
Nueva Chicago
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colegiales · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Colegiales 0-0 Nueva Chicago, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Colegiales 1-0 Nueva Chicago
Original prediction
Colegiales
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 51.1% | 43.0% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 30.1% | 35.5% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 4.90 | 18.7% | 21.5% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Projected Score
Colegiales 0–0 Nueva Chicago
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Colegiales
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Colegiales has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ColegialesLWWDL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Nueva ChicagoWLLLL
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
ColegialesNueva Chicago
33.3Attack25.0
66.7Defence67.9
44.0Form38.1
49.6Power45.7
0.71xG0.46