GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 9/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Colegiales 0-0 Midland, with an exact score probability of 33%.

Prediction record

Final result

Colegiales 3-0 Midland

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6634.6%26.6%-7.9 pts
Draw2.6934.2%36.8%2.6 pts
Away2.9431.3%36.6%5.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.6 pts

Projected Score

Colegiales 0–0 Midland

Exact score probability: 33%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ColegialesWDLDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MidlandWLDDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ColegialesMidland
30.8Attack37.2
67.9Defence75.6
43.6Form52.6
49.3Power57.0
0.48xG0.68
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