Colegialesvs
Deportivo Maipu
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Colegiales 0-0 Deportivo Maipu, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Colegiales 1-0 Deportivo Maipu
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.7% | 32.9% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 31.3% | 32.6% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.81 | 24.1% | 34.5% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Projected Score
Colegiales 0–0 Deportivo Maipu
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.6%
Model confidence
34.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ColegialesDLDWW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MaipuWWLWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ColegialesDeportivo Maipu
30.7Attack43.6
66.7Defence65.4
41.3Form48.7
48.0Power53.7
0.68xG0.82