Colegialesvs
Chacarita Juniors
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colegiales · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Colegiales 0-0 Chacarita Juniors, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Colegiales 2-1 Chacarita Juniors
Original prediction
Colegiales
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.4% | 42.4% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.7% | 35.5% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 4.15 | 21.9% | 22.1% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Projected Score
Colegiales 0–0 Chacarita Juniors
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Colegiales
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Colegiales has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00