Colegialesvs
Atletico DE Rafaela
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colegiales · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Colegiales 0-0 Atletico DE Rafaela, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Colegiales 1-1 Atletico DE Rafaela
Original prediction
Colegiales
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.5% | 45.1% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.1% | 34.5% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 5.24 | 17.4% | 20.4% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Projected Score
Colegiales 0–0 Atletico DE Rafaela
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Colegiales
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Colegiales has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00