GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 12/5/2023, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

West Ham United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Colchester are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while West Ham United U21 are 4W-0D-0L in their last 4 (WWWW), averaging 2.25 scored and 0.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and West Ham United U21 hold a 45.0-point power-rating edge (34.9 v 79.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.4% in the EFL Trophy, while West Ham United U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

West Ham United U21

Probability

70.4%

Model confidence

70.4%

West Ham United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ColchesterLLWLD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
West Ham United U21WWWW

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 2.25/0.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
ColchesterWest Ham United U21
25.0Attack86.7
16.7Defence80.0
50.0Form80.0
34.9Power79.9
1.05xG2.87
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