GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/19/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tottenham Hotspur U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Colchester are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tottenham Hotspur U21 are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tottenham Hotspur U21 hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (34.9 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Tottenham Hotspur U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tottenham Hotspur U21

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Tottenham Hotspur U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ColchesterDWLWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tottenham Hotspur U21L

GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/4.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
ColchesterTottenham Hotspur U21
25.0Attack77.8
16.7Defence22.2
50.0Form33.3
34.9Power41.2
1.73xG2.22
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