Colchestervs
Peterborough
SCHEDULEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Colchester are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Peterborough are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the EFL Trophy, favouring a draw with 13.5% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.2%
Model confidence
13.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40