Colchestervs
Milton Keynes Dons
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/17/2024, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Milton Keynes Dons · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Colchester are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Milton Keynes Dons are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Milton Keynes Dons hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (34.9 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Milton Keynes Dons holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Milton Keynes Dons
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Milton Keynes Dons has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20