Colchestervs
Gillingham
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/7/2025, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colchester · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Colchester are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gillingham are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 34.9 against 33.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Colchester holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Colchester
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Colchester has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40