Colchestervs
Fulham U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/11/2025, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fulham U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Colchester are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fulham U21 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fulham U21 hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (34.9 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Fulham U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fulham U21
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Fulham U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00