Colchestervs
Arsenal U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/12/2024, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Colchester are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Arsenal U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal U21 hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (34.9 v 39.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Arsenal U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arsenal U21
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Arsenal U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00