Colchestervs
AFC Wimbledon
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 12/10/2024, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Wimbledon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Colchester are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while AFC Wimbledon are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Wimbledon hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (34.9 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the EFL Trophy, while AFC Wimbledon holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AFC Wimbledon
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
AFC Wimbledon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00