GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 12/10/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Wimbledon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Colchester are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while AFC Wimbledon are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Wimbledon hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (34.9 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the EFL Trophy, while AFC Wimbledon holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Wimbledon

Probability

56.7%

Model confidence

56.7%

AFC Wimbledon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ColchesterWDWDW

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AFC WimbledonWDWLD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ColchesterAFC Wimbledon
25.0Attack61.1
16.7Defence61.1
50.0Form55.6
34.9Power59.2
1.21xG2.24
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