Colchester United U21vs
Sheffield Wednesday U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/25/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheffield Wednesday U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colchester United U21 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday U21
Original prediction
Sheffield Wednesday U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 33.3% | 33.6% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.31 | 21.0% | 25.8% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 45.8% | 40.6% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Sheffield Wednesday U21
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Sheffield Wednesday U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 21 · avg 2.20/4.20
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80