Colchaguavs
Provincial Osorno
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 10/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Colchagua 0-0 Provincial Osorno, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
Colchagua 2-0 Provincial Osorno
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.6% | 31.1% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.0% | 34.3% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.4% | 34.6% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Projected Score
Colchagua 0–0 Provincial Osorno
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.3%
Model confidence
34.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ColchaguaLLLDL
GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Provincial OsornoLLDLW
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ColchaguaProvincial Osorno
29.4Attack39.2
70.6Defence76.5
45.1Form54.9
49.7Power58.6
0.48xG0.65